Pathways for Implementing REDD+: Experiences from Carbon Markets and Communities

The UNEP Risø Centre is pleased to announce the 2010 issue of its Carbon Market Perspectives: Pathways for Implementing REDD+: Experiences from Carbon Markets and Communities.

This year, the publication reflects the current experiences about implementing REDD+ activities at project and community levels and goes beyond opportunities afforded by the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) by including voluntary markets. The articles presented discuss and propose ideas about how to create incentives to participate in REDD+, its implementation, and possible financing; how to involve the private sector; what are the experiences from the carbon markets, and present ideas on how to engage communities in REDD+. The authors have been carefully selected to reflect a mix of different perspectives from the private sector, country negotiation teams, research institutions, and carbon market organizations. They share their insights and ideas on various important aspects and issues for the debates on a global REDD+ mechanism in the ongoing climate negotiations.

The Carbon Markets Perspectives 2010, is produced with financial assistance by the European Commission, through its joint UNEP/EU Program for Capacity Building related to Multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs) in African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) Countries, of which the CDM forms part.

The 2010 Carbon Market Perspectives, is available for downloading:

http://www.acp-cd4cdm.org/publications.aspx

http://cd4cdm.org/;

http://uneprisoe.org/

Previous years Carbon Market Perspectives is also available for download at:

http://cd4cdm.org/PerspectiveSeries.htm

2009 Forest Voluntary Carbon Markets: New Report

Ecosystem Marketplace and Forest Trends have just released the “State of the Forest Carbon Markets 2009: Taking Root and Branching Out” report. The report provides comprehensive developments on carbon emission reductions in forestry sector and the traded valumes of carbon credits at the voluntary carbon market.

Abstract of this report is given below.

This report was created to increase transparency and answer fundamental questions about the supply of forestry-based carbon credits, such as transaction volumes, credit prices, hectares influenced and tenure rights. It outlines the aggregate numbers from our survey of 61 project developers1 and 34 intermediaries representing 226 projects across 40 countries. This report is entirely based on information volunteered by these project developers and intermediaries. Hence, numbers presented are not completely exhaustive, and should be considered conservative.

Ecosystem Marketplace tracked projects generating credits over the past 20 years in both the voluntary and compliance markets. The voluntary category includes the Over the Counter (OTC) and Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) markets. The compliance category includes the New South Wales Greenhouse Gas Reduction Scheme (NSW GGAS), as well as the Kyoto Protocol-driven Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), Joint Implementation (JI), New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme (NZ ETS) and Kyoto Assigned Amount Units (AAUs). Because we are comparing transactions across markets and standards, it is important to note that assets transacted vary considerably. For example, a temporary Certified Emissions Reduction (tCER) under the CDM may be a different asset than a Voluntary Carbon Unit (VCU) under the Voluntary Carbon Standard. However, these assets are generally referred to as carbon dioxide tonnes (tCO2).

Full report (88 pages) can be downloaded here at:
http://147.202.71.177/~foresttr/documents/index.php?pubID=2384

Khmer Monks Rewarded for Protecting Forests

Pact is proud to announce that its partner organization, the Monks Community Forestry (MCF), a group of Buddhist monks in northwest Cambodia, has won the prestigious United Nations sponsored Equator Prize celebrating outstanding community efforts to conserve biodiversity and reduce poverty. MCF and Venerable Bun Saluth have also received special recognition from a jury of leading conservation and development professionals. Among this year’s 25 Equator Prize winners, only four other communities have received this special recognition.

Since 2001, the monks of the Samraong Pagoda, located in Oddar Meanchey Province near Cambodia’s border with Thailand, have been protecting 18,261 hectares of forest from illegal clearing and incursion. It is now one of Cambodia’s largest and best protected community forests (MCF).

Pact and the Cambodian Forestry Administration have provided support to help the MCF establish community forestry legal status in Cambodia. Pact is now working with the MCF, the Cambodian Government, and with 12 other community forests in the area, on one of Cambodia’s first climate change mitigation and carbon offset projects. The project will earn carbon credits from the voluntary market to support forest protection efforts and contribute to improving local livelihoods. According to Pact’s Program Director, Amanda Bradley, “The MCF has collaborated effectively with local communities to turn an area of uncontrolled logging into an excellent example of best practice in conservation. We’re very excited about the potential of the carbon markets to reinforce and support these local efforts.”

Appalled at the ongoing destruction of his country’s forests, MCF’s Venerable Bun Saluth initiated protection of this area in 2001. With few resources, he and the monks of his pagoda have proven themselves to be powerful conservationists: they have demarcated forest boundaries, raised environmental awareness among local communities, developed co-management committees with local villagers, linked with government authorities and NGOs, and significantly reduced forest crime in the MCF through the development of unique approaches to law enforcement based on Buddhist principles.

The example of the MCF has demonstrated that Buddhist monks can be important allies for the conservation community: they have proven effective at deterring forest crime and can be powerful messengers for environmental protection. Their impressive achievements sprang from the monks’ belief that by protecting the MCF they are following the Buddha’s example and the principles he set out in his teachings to eliminate the suffering of all beings and to live ethically.

This small forest community in northwest Cambodia is now linked with 128 other Equator Prize winners from around the world who have been chosen as representatives of best practices in grassroots movements that combine biodiversity conservation and poverty reduction. Venerable Bun Saluth joins 25 of this year’s winners to receive the prize and US$5,000 in an award ceremony in New York on September 20th.

For further information visit our web site:

http://pactworld.org/cs/redd

REDD Money for Forested Countries

Forest deals push forward as climate talks lag
22 Sep 2010 21:10:00 GMT
Written by: Laurie Goering

With progress towards a U.N. climate deal lagging, financial institutions, donors and tropical forest countries are moving rapidly to set up their own systems to pay forest nations to preserve their trees as a means of curbing carbon emissions. Norway has approached the World Bank to act as an intermediary in a deal that would transfer $250 million to Guyana over six or seven years in exchange for stepped up protection of that South American nation’s stands of forest.

The Scandinavian country was also scheduled Wednesday to sign a final binding agreement to provide Indonesia with $1 billion in exchange for boosting its forest protection, though the partners were struggling to agree on a bank to manage the effort.

Read more at LONDON (AlertNet)

REDD Revenues: Learning from Peru

Lessons for REDD Revenues: Peru’s experiences from the Camisea project could prove instructive for REDD as the international community ramps up efforts to provide a financial compensation mechanism for developing country actions to reduce emissions from forest loss. Although funding for REDD will likely take different forms, a frontrunner option is to link it to carbon markets in developed countries. Companies would then meet their emission reduction commitments by channeling funding to REDD projects in forest-rich countries.

Like Camisea, and extractive projects more broadly, carbon markets would generate funding for poor, but natural- resource- rich, nations, at a scale rarely seen before. There is a risk, though. If REDD does not work as intended, its failure could not only undermine climate reduction goals in developed countries but also inflict a new kind of resource curse on developing nations.

Drawing on Peru’s Camisea experience, international financial institutions and others designing REDD should therefore:

Withhold access to carbon markets until in-country governance and capacity is sufficient to manage the scale up of funds. Indicators developed by WRI’s Governance of Forests Initiative (GFI), for example, can be used to assess the strengths and weaknesses of forest governance in a given country.

Support sub-national capacity building for long-term strategic planning and programs that strengthen transparency and accountability mechanisms for tracking revenues and expenditures in areas where REDD funds are channeled.

Draw on and adapt best practices from successful extractive industry projects to avoid known pitfalls.

Above all, careful sequencing of governance and capacity building should be employed before scaling up revenue flows. This will help ensure that urgently needed REDD and extractive industry payments are used in a way that generates long term development benefits, especially for the poor. It will create incentives for strengthening developing country governance and capacity. And it will help architects of REDD avoid inflicting a new “REDD resource curse” on nations whose wealth lies in forests.

Read more here

— Reader’s Comments —
I read with attention Janet Ranganathan’s article, and several comments are in order. Her account of the Camisea experience is mostly right, “Power, People, and Pipelines” is a good study. From complementary research, we know that local government transparency and citizen participation decreased in districts that received gas revenues, and were lower than transparency and participation in places without it. “New rich” governments soon became more corrupt and more likely to coopt the civil society.

That said, JR makes a very forced link between the Camisea gas pipeline experience and REDD, if only because in one case environmental risks increase, largely as externalities, and REDD’s objective is to both decrease and internalize environmental risks. (By the way, there was never a “heavy toll on local ecosystems” from “major oil spills” in Camisea. Accidents were rapidly controlled thanks to the indigenous community-based monitoring and early-alert system, a very good thing brought about by civil society pressure and hard bargaining. Also, a gas spill and an “oil spill” are very different).

JR’s recommendation to international financial institutions (IFIs) “withold access to carbon markets until in-country governance and capacity is sufficient to manage the scale up of funds” sounds like “don’t feed the babies until they learn to walk”; it confounds weaknesses with opportunities, growth with development, and it is very patronizing. JR assumes that revenues from REDD will be of a dimension similar to oil exploitation, which is highly unlikely. REDD would arrive more directly to local communities and land stewards, probably in small amounts and in the context of previous arrangements and mutual obligations, while in Camisea money is huge, goes to government, and free-falls like rain, with no strings attached. The “REDD resource course” may be little more than a catchy phrase. The power to take part in C-markets should not be held, as JR suggests, in IFIs, but it should shift downwards: How do you empower if you don’t trust? (And yes, I know: I have two teenagers).

One last, important lesson learned from Camisea and many other cases is that rural people (in fact, all people) like roads a lot. Roads win votes, and no roads make you lose votes. This has nothing to do with governance or planning capacities, it has to do with perceptions of progress and wellbeing, as well as with very practical matters of survival and family economy in remote areas. Roads do improve conditions and open opportunities for rural peoples, like it or not. But this leads to a completely different discussion.

Cambodia’s National Forest Programme Online

In 1997 the Royal Government of Cambodia (RGC) initiated the process of developing a National Forest Programme (NFP) by establishing a national committee on forest policy reform with support from FAO, UNDP and WB (FAO 2002). In 2002, the secretariat of the committee in collaboration with the GTZ-funded Cambodian-German forestry project formulated a national forest policy statement (RGC 2002). Subsequently, a new Forest Law was promulgated in 2002, a Forestry Administration was established in 2003, and a Sub Decree on Community Forestry
adopted in 2005.

In November 2004, the RGC established a Technical Working Group on Forestry and Environment (TWG-F & E) to provide a mechanism for government-donor coordination to support and strengthen development activities within the forestry and environment sectors (Details are available at www.twgfe.org).

Since September 2006 the Forest and Landscape, University of Copenhagen has supported the Forestry Administration in initiating the current NFP process including LFA workshops on planning (September 2006) and support in conducting two preparatory NFP workshops, one internal in FA (January 2007) and one with multiple stakeholders (March 2007). In spite of earlier initiatives outlined above, the development of a coherent National Forest Programme has yet to be completed in Cambodia. The preparation of the NFP will follow a participatory planning approach that encourages the involvement of all forest-dependent actors at village, commune, district, provincial, national and international levels. Throughout the preparatory process, a National Forest Programme Task Force was established. In October 2007, the Task Force conducted its first meeting to agree on the Annual Action Plan 2007-2008.

The purpose of the NFP is to promote the conservation and sustainable management and use of forest resources in Cambodia. The NFP will aim to meet local, national and global needs by coordinating national and international partnerships to manage, use, protect and regenerate forest resources for the benefit of present and future generations of Cambodians. The preparation of a NFP in Cambodia, whilst adopting a consultative approach, will emphasize national sovereignty with regard to the management of the country’s forest resources, and the need for country leadership and responsibility.

The NFP, as a framework for planning, will provide strategic orientation for the forestry sector in harmony with other sectors of the national economy. As a framework for action and investment, the NFP will also facilitate concerted and coordinated implementation of programmes and activities by all stakeholders based on mutually agreed objectives and strategies.

Click here to download Nationa Forest Programme in Cambodia

Book: A Nested Approach to REDD+

This book is written by The Nature Conservancy and Baker & McKenzie and here is the summary. Follow the link below to download the book.

• In order for REDD+ to be successful, incentives will need to reach the actors responsible for addressing the drivers of deforestation and for shifting land use to a more sustainable and low-carbon model. These actors span multiple scales, from international commodity buyers to national governments to sub-national governments to indigenous peoples and forest-dependent communities to individual landowners/users.

• Devising effective and transparent carbon accounting systems and incentive mechanisms that motivate both national and sub-national actors will be critical to successfully implementing REDD+.

• A nested approach to REDD+ is one way to structure such a system. Under a nested approach the national government could set up a national accounting framework and establish a nation-wide monitoring system. The national government could implement certain policy reforms that would lead to verifiable emission reductions and therefore earn incentives from an international system (or a bilateral arrangement). Meanwhile, implementation of REDD+ activities could also occur at the sub-national level led by local/regional governments, communities, NGOs, or private developers. These activities would account for emission reductions at the sub-national level and earn incentives directly from the international (or bilateral) system based on those reductions. Under the approach proposed in this paper, the sub-national accounting would need to be “trued-up” to the national level (i.e. all credits issued in any given year are based on the performance of the nation as a whole relative to its reference emission level).

• A nested approach to REDD+ has the potential to address many of the drawbacks of pure national or pure sub-national approaches by accounting for in-country leakage, engaging national governments, and taking advantage of certain economies of scale, while also motivating sub-national actors to participate in REDD+ and attracting greater private investment. A nested approach may also provide for a more transparent distribution of the benefits from REDD+ since local actors could own and transact credits directly rather than relying on a national system of benefit-sharing. However, a nested approach will likely require more complex carbon accounting methodologies, clearly defined systems for sharing risk between actors, and defined institutional arrangements for managing the flow of incentives.

• Nested carbon accounting should include the following elements: a clear national reference emission level, defined sub-national reference regions (non-overlapping areas that cover the entire land mass of the country designated based on common drivers of deforestation and political jurisdictions), and, in some cases, nested projects whose reference emission levels add up to the reference region and hence the national reference emission level.

• Under the nested approach we propose in this paper, there is a risk that sub-national actors may not receive compensation for successful activities in the event that the country as a whole fails to perform. This risk will need to be minimized in order to promote sub-national participation and private investment. This paper outlines several options for risk management among actors, including insurance products, a global self-insurance fund, performance reserve accounts, or contracts between parties for replacement of REDD+ credits.

• These options could be combined to meet the needs of particular country circumstances. The set of options chosen could lead to a greater assumption of risk by the national government, an even distribution of risk between actors, or a greater assumption of risk by sub-national actors. Several plausible arrangements exist, and the set of options chosen will greatly influence the level of sub-national involvement and private investment.

• Given the potential advantages of a nested approach to REDD+, an international agreement on REDD+ and domestic legislation in the U.S. and other developed countries should allow developing countries the option to pursue a nested approach to REDD+ backed by adequate risk management strategies. Developing country governments should consider a nested approach to REDD+ when devising their national REDD+ strategies.

Download it here

Book: Global Biodiversity Outlook 3

This Outlook presents some stark choices for human societies. On one hand it warns that the diversity of living things on the planet continues to be eroded as a result of human activities. The pressures driving the loss of biodiversity show few signs of easing, and in some cases are escalating. The consequences of current trends are much worse than previously thought, and place in doubt the continued provision of vital ecosystem services. The poor stand to suffer disproportionately from potentially catastrophic changes to ecosystems in coming decades, but ultimately all societies stand to lose.

On the other hand, the Outlook offers a message of hope. The options for addressing the crisis are wider than was apparent in earlier studies. Determined action to conserve biodiversity and use it sustainably will reap rich rewards.
It will benefit people in many ways – through better health, greater food security and less poverty. It will safeguard the variety of nature, an objective justified in its own right according to a range of belief systems and moral codes.
It will help to slow climate change by enabling ecosystems to absorb and store more carbon; and it will help people adapt to climate change by adding resilience to ecosystems and making them less vulnerable. Taking actions to ensure the maintenance and restoration of well-functioning ecosystems, underpinned by biodiversity and providing natural infrastructure for human societies, can provide economic gains worth trillions of dollars a year.
The latest science suggests ever more strongly that better management, conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity is a prudent and cost-effective investment in social and economic security, and in risk reduction for the global community. This Outlook shows that efforts to date have not been sufficient to reduce significantly the rate of
biodiversity loss and analyses why; it assesses the potential for long-lasting or irreversible ecosystem changes to result from current trends and practices; and it concludes that concerted and targeted responses, with action applied at appropriate levels to address both direct pressures on biodiversity and their underlying causes, can in the long term stop or even reverse the continued decline in the variety of life on Earth. The action taken over the next two decades will determine whether the relatively stable environmental conditions on which human civilization has depended for the past 10,000 years will continue beyond this century. If we fail to use this opportunity, many ecosystems on the planet will move into new, unprecedented states in which the capacity to provide for the needs of present and future generations is highly uncertain.

Download full book here

Stand Volume and Carbon Stocks in Cambodian Evergreen Forest: Part 1

For citation: Sasaki, N., Yoshimoto, A., Benefits of tropical forest management under the new climate change agreement—a case study in Cambodia. Environ. Sci. Policy (2010), doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2010.04.007

1. Forests in Cambodia

The Cambodian government defines forests for the United Nations Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) as land having forest canopy cover of 10% and tree height of 5 m and estimated that forests covered 10.9 million ha or 59.1% of the country’s total land area in 2006 (Technical Working Group on Forestry and Environment, 2007) declining from 11.3 million ha in 2002. Total forest cover is comprised of deciduous forest (43.2%), evergreen forest (33.8%), semi-evergreen or mixed forest (12.5%), and mangrove and freshwater-flooded forests (8.9%). Wood shrubland, bamboo, and forest plantations cover only a small proportion of the total forest area (Fig. SM1). Because deforestation and uncontrolled logging continue, many important tree species in Cambodia have been placed on the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List (So, 2004). In addition to these important tree species, Cambodia’s forests are also home to a unique but critically endangered species of Kouprey or wild cow (Bos sauveli).

By law, commercial logging is allowed only in evergreen, mixed, and deciduous forests. Because of their ecological, social, and environmental importance, mangrove and freshwater-flooded forests were designated as protected areas by Royal Decree in 1993, along with an additional 3.1 million ha of forests. As of 2010, this protection was still in effect. At present, there are 16 forest concessions covering a total of 3.4 million. The remainder is for unspecified purposes, such as for population resettlement and for plantations of rubber, teak, oil palm, eucalyptus or acacia, and other industrial crops. A selective felling cycle of 25 years is allowed in Cambodia. In response to illegal logging (67% of all harvested timber as reported by DAI [1998]), the lack of technical capability, and the suggestions of the international community, logging operations in Cambodia were temporarily suspended in 2002, and this suspension remains in effect today. However, as a result of the lack of proper ownership rights to protect the suspended forest concessions coupled with an increase in unregulated land concessions granted for industrial crop plantations (MAFF, 2010), land clearing and anarchic land encroachments have been reported across the country (Ty, 2005).

Prior to the late 1980s, Cambodian forests were fully stocked with highly commercial timber species (in terms of tree species composition, stem density, and stand volume) because of inaccessibility as a result of prolonged decades of civil wars, landmines, and the total lack of rural security. Coincident with the logging ban in Thailand and the withdrawal of Vietnamese troops from Cambodia in 1989, logging by all Cambodian fighting factions intensified along the borders with Thailand, Laos, and Vietnam. Since the 1991 Paris Peace Accord ending the civil wars in Cambodia, internationally supported industrial logging activities began, and almost all of the highly valued forests were logged intensively at highly unsustainable logging rates (World Bank, 2006). Cambodian forests are owned by the government’s Forestry Administration (FA), and the FA grants concession rights to logging companies through public bidding. The FA also recognizes prescribed access and use rights of local and indigenous communities (FA, 2006). About 92% of the Cambodian population lives in rural areas and depends on fuel wood from forests for daily cooking and warmth; this makes forests an important resource for sustainable development in Cambodia. The success of future REDD-plus agreements in Cambodia as well as in other developing countries depends on taking into account the needs of the rural population.

Due to its high stocks of commercial and valuable timber species compared to mixed and deciduous forests (Kim Phat et al. 2000, 2002a, 2002b), a large area of evergreen forest has been logged legally and illegally over the last three decades. Such unsustainable logging has caused rapid degradation, and in the worse case, the loss of evergreen forest to industrial crop plantations. This report has been prepared as supplemental material to the published article. In this supplemental report we describe the forest inventory data, data analysis, and results for use in the main article.

Download full paper here

Benefits of Tropical Forest Management under the New Climate Change Agreement

For citation: Sasaki, N. & Yoshimoto, A. (2010) Benefits of Tropical Forest Management under the New Climate Change Agreement—A Case Study in Cambodia. Environmental Science and Policy (in press), DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2010.04.007

ABSTRACT: Promoting sustainable forest management as part of the reduced emissions from deforestation and degradation in developing countries (REDD)-plus mechanism in the Copenhagen Accord of December 2009 implies that tropical forests will no longer be ignored in the new climate change agreement. As new financial incentives are pledged, costs and revenues on a 1-ha tract of tropical forestland being managed or cleared for other land-use options need to be assessed so that appropriate compensation measures can be proposed. Cambodia’s highly stocked evergreen forest, which has experienced rapid degradation and deforestation, will be the first priority forest to be managed if financial incentives through a carbon payment scheme are available. By analyzing forest inventory data, we assessed the revenues and costs for managing a hypothetical 1 ha of forestland against six land-use options: business-as-usual timber harvesting (BAU-timber), forest management under the REDD-plus mechanism, forest-to-teak plantation, forest-to-acacia plantation, forest-to-rubber plantation, and forest-to-oil palm plantation. We determined annual equivalent values for each option, and the BAU-timber and REDD-plus management options were the highest, with both options influenced by logging costs and timber price. Financial incentives should be provided at a level that would allow continuation of sustainable logging and be attractive to REDD-plus project developers.

Keywords: Carbon Price; Deforestation; Forest Degradation; Financial Returns; Forest Management Costs; Opportunity Costs; REDD-plus

1. Introduction

Tropical deforestation was responsible for the annual release of about 5.5 (IPCC, 2007; Gullison et al., 2007) to 8.1 billion tonne CO2 yr-1 (Houghton, 2003) in the 1990s. Consequently, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has recognized the prevention of carbon emissions from tropical forests as the largest and most immediate carbon stock impact in the short term. In addition, forest degradation (the loss of commercial and large trees, trees damaged by unplanned logging and fires) may account for another 25–42% of carbon emissions from tropical forests in Asia (Flint and Richards, 1994; Iverson et al., 1994) and 132% from Africa (Gaston et al., 1998). World leaders recently met in Copenhagen to discuss new climate change agreement to replace the Kyoto Protocol when it expires in 2012. Although a binding commitment for greenhouse gas emission reduction was not reached, global climate change mitigation through reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD), promoting sustainable forest management, and enhancing carbon sinks (hereafter referred to as REDD-plus) in the Copenhagen Accord was reached at the Fifteenth Conference of the Parties (COP15) to the United Nations Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in December 2009. REDD-plus recognition coupled with a new pledge of annual fast-start funds of about US$3.5 billion between 2010 and 2012 suggests that sustainable forest management in the tropics will be promoted to include sustaining timber production and other ecosystem services.

Defined here as managing forests for sustained flow of timber and other ecosystem services, sustainable forest management could be achieved if logging regulations are strictly followed, and with the right incentives (Pearce et al., 2003). Financial incentives for managing tropical forests that would be made available under the REDD-plus mechanism must be comparable to incentives from other land-use options; otherwise clearing of natural forests for land use with high financial returns could not be prevented. Although various studies on the costs for avoiding tropical deforestation have been carried out in recent years (van Kooten et al., 2004; Bellassen and Gitz, 2008; Kindermann et al., 2008), only a handful of studies have focused on the costs for managing tropical forests (Kim Phat et al., 2004; van Kooten et al., 2004; Karky and Skutsch, 2010). Yet, important parameters, such as the costs for logging planning, harvesting, transporting, reforesting, wood processing, selling, and fees, and revenues from the sale of timber were not explicitly taken into consideration in the above studies. The REDD-plus mechanism would likely require that such parameters be incorporated in the estimates of costs of and revenues from managing tropical forests.

Deforestation and logging were responsible for the release of about 50.3 million t CO2 yr-1 from natural forests in Cambodia during the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s (Sasaki, 2006). Although a logging ban was imposed in 2002, forested lands are continuously granted as land concessions for industrial plantations without proper assessment of the long-term financial returns from each land-use option. In this study we estimated the financial returns from six land-use options (see descriptions and justifications in Table 1: business-as-usual timber harvesting (BAU-timber), forest management under the REDD-plus mechanism (REDD-plus management), forest-to-teak (Tectona grandis) plantation (clearing of forested land for teak plantation), forest-to-acacia plantation, forest-to-rubber plantation, and forest-to-oil palm plantation (Table 1). Our study is structured as follows: forest inventory data are revisited and analyzed, and the resulting stem density, basal area, and volume data are classified into five tree grades so that revenues from timber harvesting for each tree grade can be estimated. We then estimate net present values (NPVs) and annual equivalent values (AEVs) from timber harvesting and compare them with values from other land uses over one management cycle each for each land use option. Finally, we suggest policy direction for materializing REDD-plus project implementation.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Current uses of deforested lands

Forest cover in Cambodia declined to 10.9 million ha in 2006 from 11.1 million in 2002, representing a loss of 50,000 ha annually. Deforested lands are being replaced by forest plantations of acacia and eucalyptus and other plantations such as rubber (Hevea brasilliensis), teak (Tectona grandis), oil palm, and other industrial crops (MAFF, 2010). For this study, revenues from six land uses on a hypothetical 1 ha of cleared or managed forestland were estimated over a management cycle (Table 1), a cycle when forest or plantations are harvested. Due to the differences in management cycles for all land uses, we analyzed the annual equivalent value (AEV) so that potential revenues could be compared on a yearly basis. AEV is important tool for measuring investment performances in land use projects of unequal management cycles or time horizon (see section 2.4.) Evergreen forest accounts for 33.8% of the 10.9 million ha of forests in Cambodia, contains high stocks of high-value timber, and is harvested for timber legally and illegally. In addition, about 29% of Cambodia’s primary forests (mainly evergreen forest) were lost to severe degradation or other types of land use between 2000 and 2005 (FAO, 2006). Consequently, evergreen forest should be given the highest priority for management when the REDD-plus agreement is reached. Further descriptions of the forest, data collection, analytical methods, and results are available as online Supplementary Materials (SM).

2.2. Net present values for land-use options

A brief introduction to forest resources in Cambodia, forest inventory data, and analytical results of stem density, basal area, and stand volume by timber grades are given online as SM.

Net Present Value (NPV) for each land use type is derived by

,                                                              (1)

(note: follow the link at bottom of this article to download equations and tables)

where NPV is the net present value for each land use type (US$ ha-1), TRt is total revenue ($ ha-1), TCt is total cost ($ ha-1), T is the management cycle (years), and r is the discount rate (Table 1). For comparisons, three discount rates were used: 10%, which represents unstable economic growth; 8.0%, which is representative of stable economic development in least-developed countries (Hunt, 2002); and 4.0%, which was used by van Beukering et al. (2003) to study ecosystem services in a national park in Sumatra, Indonesia. Annual economic growth in Cambodia is about 6-7%.

Table 1

Total revenue (TRt) in Eq. (1) for BAU-timber and REDD-plus management can be estimated by

,                                    (2)

where is revenue to the government from timber harvesting (in $ ha-1), RCOM is revenue to the logging company ($ ha-1), and RCO2 is carbon revenue to REDD project developers ($ ha-1).

RGOV in Eq. (2) is derived by

,                                   (3)

where Ri is the timber royalty (in $ m-3) of harvested wood (HWi in m3 ha-1) of tree grade i (see Table SM5 for this calculation) and Tax is revenue from various taxes, fees, and services related to timber harvesting and wood exporting (see Table 2 for details). Tax includes fees for reforestation, the export tax on final products (i.e., 10% of the reference price of freight on board [FOB] for veneer or sawn wood), the service charge for export (1% of the FOB reference price), custom charge (0.085% of the FOB reference price), concession fees, and fees for social and infrastructure obligations (Kim Phat et al., 2001). The reforestation tax in 1997 was reported to be about $8.7, $2.6, $0.9, $0.5, and $0.5 per m3 of harvested wood for luxury grade trees (GLT), first grade trees (G1T), second grade trees (G2T), third grade trees (G3T), and out of grade trees (OGT), respectively (Kim Phat, 1999). In Cambodia, G1T and G2T are processed for veneer and the remaining grades are processed for sawn wood for export (see SM and Table SM5). Information on forest concession fees in Cambodia was not available but fees for economic land concessions are $0.00–$10.00 ha-1 yr-1 (Cabinet Minister, 2000). Forest concession fees were reported to be about $0.30 and $2.40–$3.90 ha-1 yr-1 in Gabon (GFW, 2000a) and Cameroon (GFW, 2000b), respectively. The lowest forest concession fee was reported for Nicaragua at $0.7 km-2 or about $0.007 ha-1 yr-1 (Gray and Hagerby, 1997). For our study, $1.0 ha-1 yr-1 was used as the concession fee in Cambodia.

RCOM in Eq. (2) is derived by

,                          (4)

where VW is veneer wood (m3), FOBVW is the FOB price for VW, SW is sawn wood (m3), FOBSW is the FOB price for SW (see Table SM5 for calculations). Prices for VW and SW in Cambodia were $221 m-3 in 1998 (Kim Phat et al. 2001). To be consistent with the cost data, we assumed a price of $221 m-3 for both VW and SW for this study. This price should be adjusted when more current data on logging costs in Cambodia are available.

RCO2 in Eq (2) can be estimated by

,                                     (5)

where CPRICE is the carbon price per tonne CO2. We have assumed the carbon price to be $2 t-1 CO2, which is within the range of previous studies (Osborne and Kiker, 2005; Bellassen and Gitz 2008; Kindermann et al., 2008). Carbon price varies whether it is a project-based or national-based price, and from one country to another. For example governments of Norway and Guyana recently undersigned a deal for protecting Guyana’s forests at $5.00 t-1 CO2 (national-based price) (Norway, 2009). Based on 11 cases of avoided deforestation projects, Hamilton et al. (2008) estimated average carbon price at $4.8 t-1 CO2. CSALL is the total aboveground and belowground carbon stock (see Table SM4 for calculation). Fast growth and yield have been reported under reduced impact logging (RIL) and liberation treatment practices (RIL+ hereafter) (Peña-Claros et al., 2008; Villegas et al., 2009), and we have therefore assumed that, under REDD-plus management, stand volume (also carbon stocks) can be restored to preharvest levels.  

Total cost (TCt) in Eq. (1) can be derived by

,                                  (6)

where TCGOV is total cost incurred by the government ($ ha-1), TCCOM is total cost incurred by logging companies ($ ha-1), and TCREDD is total cost for REDD-plus project developers ($ ha-1). Total reported costs for one logging company in producing and selling the final products (veneer wood and sawn wood in this study) were $298.75 m–3 for veneer wood and $316.96 m-3 for sawn wood in 1998 when prices for veneer and sawn wood were $221 m-3 (Kim Phat et al., 2001). This particular company was already running at a loss in 1998.

TCGOV in Eq. (5) can be derived by

,            (7)

where WSTAFF is the mean annual basic wage ($ staff-1), ASTAFF is the mean annual allowance ($ staff-1), OSTAFF is the mean annual overhead ($ staff-1), TSTAFF is the total forestry staff in Cambodia, and HAREA is the annual harvesting area (ha).

Due to the lack of reliable information for wages of government officers (staff in this study), we assumed the gross domestic product GDP per capita of $745.1 to be the same as the mean annual wage for the 1,622 forestry staff (TSTAFF) in 1998 (Kim Phat, 1999). Fieldwork (forest management activities) is carried out in the dry season between November and April, so for this study, we assumed that each forester spends 4 months (4 × 30 = 120 days) per year for fieldwork activities. Based on personal communications with Cambodian government foresters, daily allowances of $10 for food and another $10 for accommodation are currently being paid to government foresters by logging companies or development agencies that request technical government assistance (i.e., Forestry Administration), and therefore, ASTAFF = 2,400 (120 days × $20/day = $2400). With these assumptions, a total yearly salary for a government forester is 3,145.1 (=745.1+2400) or about $262.09 per month, which is reasonable for government officers without relying on other sources of incomes. We assumed that OSTAFF = (WSTAFF + ASTAFF) × 0.5, or $1,572.55. According to Kim et al. (2006), the total area of forest concessions in Cambodia was 5,274,143.6 ha in 1997, of which 50% were operable (forest area suitable solely for logging, excluding all bufferzones, water surface, villages, rocky and steep slopes, and others). HAREA is therefore 105,482.9 ha yr-1 [(5,274,143.6 × 0.5)/25] over the 25-yr cutting cycle currently permitted in Cambodia. Although Cambodian Code for Forest Harvesting requires that logging companies pay for social and infrastructure development to forest-dependent communities, the rate for such payments is not available and is therefore neglected in our study. Under REDD-plus management, this type of payment needs to be well defined before REDD projects can be successfully implemented.

TCREDD in Eq. (5) can be derived by

,                            (8)

where TCREDD is zero for BAU-timber because such activity is not implemented, and TCIMPL is implementation costs, including for BAU-timber and RIL+. Additional costs for RIL are $4.50 m-3 of harvested wood (Kim Phat et al., 2004); total harvested wood was estimated to be 45.31 m3 ha-1 (see Table SM5), therefore RIL costs are $203.90 ha-1 (4.50 × 45.31) in addition to the costs incurred under the BAU-timber option. The costs for liberation treatments are $25.17 ha-1 (Ohlson-Kiehn et al., 2006; Wadsworth and Zweede, 2006). TCMONI is the total costs for monitoring, reporting, and verifying as required under the REDD agreement (REDD-plus management). Due to the lack of information on TCMONI, we assumed a fee equivalent to that of forest certification of $1.40 m-3 of harvested wood (Kim Phat et al., 2004); therefore, TCMONI = 45.31 × 1.40 = $63.43 ha-1.

TRt and TCt in Eq. (1) for other land uses (i.e., forest-to-teak, forest-to-acacia, forest-to-rubber, and forest-to-oil palm plantations) were obtained from published reports (Table 3).

2.4. Annual equivalent value (AEV) for all land use types

Due to variations in management cycle for all land use options, AEV for each option is analyzed so that financial benefits can be compared on a yearly basis. AEV is derived by

(9)

See Eq. (1) for NPV, r, and T

3. Results and Discussions

Total stand volume of all trees with a diameter at breast height (DBH) ≥ 5 cm was calculated as 244.5 m3 ha-1 (equivalent to about 632.0 t CO2) (see Table SM4), of which 61.8% or 151.0 m3 is that of mature trees (mature trees are determined in accordance with the DBH minimum size for harvesting: all trees with DBH ≥ the DBH minimum size are considered to be mature trees, of which 30% are then available for harvest. See SM for more explanation). Because only 30% of mature trees in a stand can be harvested, the total volume of wood available for harvest is 45.31 m3 ha-1 for all trees per 25-yr cutting cycle. This comprises G1T 4.35, G2T 26.24, G3T 4.92, and OGT 9.56 m3 ha-1, and we assumed that 0.24 m3 ha-1 of GLT would be harvested due to unavoidable road construction. Timber royalties (per ha) received are $38.06 (GLT), $260.98 (G1T), $1,049.63 (G2T), $157.46 (G3T), and $191.27 (OGT), for a total of $1,697.40 ha-1 per 25-yr cycle. Revenues per management or cutting cycle from taxes on reforestation, concession fees, and export services of processed wood (sawn wood and veneer wood) were estimated to be $44.22, $25.00, and $478.01 ha-1, respectively (Table 2). Altogether, we estimated revenues for the government from harvesting 1 ha of tropical natural forest to be $2,244.63 ha-1 per 25-yr cutting cycle (management cycle) and revenues for the company to be $4,312.20 ha-1. Under BAU-timber, total revenues were estimated to be $6,556.83 ha-1 (Table 2); while under REDD-plus management, total revenues were estimated to be $7,820.57 ha-1 at a carbon price of $2.00 t-1 CO2 (Table 2). Revenues under REDD-plus are strongly influenced by the price of carbon. Price of carbon is likely to rise when REDD-plus agreement is finally reached. Currently, carbon under the European Union Allowances and Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) is traded at $17.29 (euro 12.69) and $15.30 (euro11.23) (www.pointcarbon.com).

Table 2

To generate the above revenue ($2 244.63 ha-1), the government employs 0.015 staff ha-1, equivalent to about $70.76 ha-1 [(=0.015*(745.1+2400+1572.55)]. For the company, total costs were estimated to be $5,054.87 ha-1 (Table 3). Due to the low timber price, logging operates at a loss of $742.67 ha-1 per management cycle. Costs for government and company are the same for both BAU-timber and REDD-plus options. Due to the low costs incurred by the government, the total benefit from logging under BAU-timber is $2,173.87; however, the government can only continue to generate revenue if legal logging occurs. Without sufficient financial incentives, logging companies might hide the revenues, for example, by paying corrupt officers or through an abandoned logging business. Costs for REDD-plus project developer are $292.50 ha-1 in addition to costs incurred by government and company. Therefore, total benefits under REDD-plus option are $2,400.65 [=7,820.57-(292.50+5125.63)], of which $1,264.00 (=2*632, total carbon stock is 172.2 t C or 632.0 t CO2 in Table SM4) is from the sale of carbon avoided from deforestation and forest degradation. Under BAU-timber, AEVs were estimated to be $32.26, $17.88, and $13.09 ha-1 for discount rates of 4.0%, 8.0%, and 10%, respectively. The corresponding REDD-plus AEVs are $54.18, $30.03, and $21.99 ha-1 (Table 4). Revenues under REDD-plus option would have been higher if co-benefits such as from watershed protection, soil erosion control, recreation, and other non-carbon ecosystem services were included in our estimates. Information on co-benefits is difficult to quantify and it is not available for present study.

Table 3

Benefits from forest-to-teak: Converting natural forest to a teak plantation incurred a total cost of $41.25 ha-1 over a 30-year period, with a total return of about $1,000 ha-1 (Table 3) (Agrifood Consulting International, 2005). The benefit from this option is $958.75 ha-1 per management cycle, with AEVs of $16.16, $7.77, and $5.27 for 4.0%, 8.0%, and 10% discount rates, respectively (Table 4)

Benefits from forest-to-acacia: If a plantation of Acacia or Eucalyptus species is established over a 10-yr cutting rotation, the annual cost and revenue are $688.88 and $61.60 ha-1 yr-1, respectively (Agrifood Consulting International, 2005), representing an AEV loss of about $46.51, $37.68, and 33.85 ha-1 yr-1 for discount rates of 4.0%, 8.0%, and 10%, respectively (Table 4). Converting natural forest to Acacia or Eucalyptus plantations (mainly E. grandis and A. auriculiformis) is not profitable because the mean annual growth increment for these species in Cambodia is low (about 2.8 m3 ha-1 yr-1) (Agrifood Consulting International, 2005) compared to 34 and 45 m3 ha-1 yr-1 (average) for A. mangium and Eucalyptus hybrid clone 0321, respectively, in Brazil (Rossi et al., 2003), 68 m3 ha-1 yr-1 for E. grandis in Brazil (Dedecek et al., 2001), 21 m3 ha-1 yr-1 for E. robusta in Malaysia and India (NAS, 1983), 28 m3 ha-1 yr-1 for Eucalyptus species in Thailand (Mayers, 2000), and 7–15 m3 ha-1 yr-1 for Eucalyptus species in Vietnam (GTZ, 2007). The lack of access to a local market is another factor that increases production costs.

Benefits from forest-to-rubber: Rubber plantations are the second highest source of government revenues, earning $83 million or about 4% of the total national exports in 2004. The area covered by rubber plantations is projected to increase rapidly from 66,000 ha in 2004 to 94,000 ha in 2010, 124,000 ha in 2020, and 150,000 ha in 2030 (Cambodian Embassy, 2007). Although information on total costs and revenues from rubber plantations in Cambodia is only partially available, for the initial years between year 0 and year 6, the average cost per ha ranges from $1,520.00 (MAFF, 2006) to $2,460.00 (Marubeni, 2004) or about $253.30 to $410.00 ha-1 yr-1. The annual maximum maintenance cost after year 6 is estimated to be $200.00 ha-1 yr-1 (Agrifood Consulting International, 2005), whereas the annual revenue from rubber production is, on average, $1,500.00 ha-1 from year 6 until year 30. Over a 30-yr period, the average cost for a rubber plantation has been estimated to be $211.93 (MAFF, 2006) or $250.50 (Marubeni, 2004) and proceeds are $1,200.00 ha-1 yr-1, while the AEVs are $16.00 to $16.65, $7.70 to $8.01, and $5.22 to $5.43 ha-1 yr-1 for the discount rates of 4.0%, 8.0%, and 10%, respectively (Table 4).

Benefits from forest-to-oil palm: Oil palm productivity is lower in Cambodia (10.6 t ha-1 yr-1 over a 25-yr cycle; Agrifood Consulting International, 2005) as compared to Sumatra, Indonesia (23.0–26.0 t ha-1 yr-1; Redshaw and Siggs, 1993; Butler et al., 2009). The total annual cost over a 25-yr management cycle (from planting to harvesting) for oil palm plantations in Cambodia is $852.49 ha-1, while the total revenue is only $747.60 ha-1, resulting in a loss of AEVs of about $2.37, $1.31, and 0.96 ha-1 yr-1 at the discount rates of 4.0%, 8.0%, and 10%, respectively (Table 4) (Agrifood Consulting International, 2005). Therefore, converting natural forests to oil palm plantation is currently not profitable in Cambodia.

Table 4

Clean Development Mechanism or CDM credit through afforestation and reforestation: The Marrakesh Accord of 2001 (updated at COP9 of the UNFCCC) allows afforestation or reforestation activities as carbon sinks on land that has not been forested for at least 50 years (afforestation) or on land that was once forested but had been converted to nonforested land prior to 1990 (reforestation) (UNFCCC, 2002). Therefore, any carbon sinks resulting from other land-use options that replace natural forests are not eligible for carbon credits (i.e. through CDM’s afforestation and reforestation activities), and therefore carbon sinks resulting from converting natural forests to plantations and associated carbon trading are not considered in this study.

4. Sensitivity Analysis of Financial Benefits for REDD-plus Option

AEVs for managing tropical forests are strongly influenced by the carbon prices whose value varies from $1.04 to as high as $38.15 t-1 CO2 (Kindermann et el. 2008). If REDD-plus projects in Cambodia are priced at $1.04, AEVs are estimated at $40.53, $22.46, and $16.45 ha-1 for discount rates of 4%, 8%, and 10%, respectively. If the price of carbon is $5.00 as that in the undersigned deal between governments of Norway and Guyana, AEVs are $97.01, $53.76, and $39.37 ha-1. If carbon is priced at $38.15, AEVs are $569.81, $315.80, and $231.26 ha-1, respectively for the same discount rates above (Table 5).

Table 5

5. Policy Implications

Although interests in purchasing carbon credits from REDD activities have increased (Neeff et al., 2009), transaction costs (the costs for pre-project assessments, project site identification, and documentation for buyers and regulators) for REDD-plus option remain uncertain. Transaction costs for 11 forest projects are estimated at $0.03–$1.23 t-1 CO2 (Antinori and Sathaye, 2007). Countries with less capable human resource are likely to incur higher transaction costs. In addition to providing capacity building on REDD-plus scheme, making utmost use of existing professionals from eco-friendly logging companies, experienced environmental NGOs and local communities would help reduce the transaction costs.

REDD-plus inclusion in the new climate change agreement and firmed financial commitment from countries with emission reduction and financial obligation (Annex II in the Kyoto agreement) to developing countries would result in increase of forest lands being allocated for the REDD-plus project development. Nevertheless, as technology developed and experience gained, productivity from industrial crops in Cambodia would also increase, which subsequently would encourage government to turn their forests for clearing for industrial crop plantations. Sustained financial commitment and competitive carbon price (comparable to that being traded under compulsory market) from REDD-plus projects would keep REDD-plus revenues competitive to that from other land use options.

Furthermore, if REDD-plus mechanism only considers onsite benefits such as timber and fuelwood collection but ignores other co-benefits such as meat and food (from sustainable exploitation of wild animals, mushroom, and so on), traditional medicines, recreation, watershed protection, soil erosion control, and other non-carbon ecosystem services, less-tree but high-biodiversity forests would not be attractive to REDD-plus developers, which would result in high-biodiversity forests being converted to other land uses putting sustainable development in developing countries at risk. Achieving emission reduction while helping developing countries achieve sustainable development is among the important goals for the Kyoto protocol (2008-2012), and it would probably be retained in the new climate change agreement as well. Sustainable forest management in the new climate change agreement should be broadly defined to include all co-benefits a forest could provide since such inclusion is likely to result in reducing opportunity costs for other land uses compared to that from REDD-plus option (Paliola and Bosuet, 2009) while sustaining forest functions.

Three types of forest land use can be classified in natural tropical forests, namely protection, production, and conversion forests (Kim Phat et al., 2004). While commercial logging i.e. through RIL+ practices under the REDD-plus mechanism should only be allowed in production forest, enhancement of carbon sinks through restoration could take place in all three forest land use types, especially on conversion forest where large trees have been logged. Protection forest has multiple ecological functions and contains high biodiversity, and therefore commercial logging should not be allowed.

Participation of all stakeholders is important for the success of the REDD-plus projects, especially where concession forests are proposed for financial support under the REDD-plus program. In addition to adopting the REDD-plus management, logging companies must fully abide by the Code for Forest Harvesting (or logging regulations) so that adverse impacts on forests and forest dependent communities living inside forest concessions or nearby could be reduced. Forest dependent communities should be allowed to play a role in selecting trees for harvesting because such trees as resin or culturally important trees are very important for their livelihood and cultural or spiritual practices. Carbon-based revenues from REDD-plus project should then be distributed to all stakeholders depending on individuals’ involvement in the REDD-plus project activities.

In 2009, the Royal Government of Cambodia and U.S.-based Terra Global Capital agreed to a REDD-plus project to conserve 67,000 ha of forests in northwestern Cambodia (Khun, 2008), which will offset about 8.5 million t CO2 over a 30-yr period. This agreement is being carried out under the voluntary carbon market, which increased in its global value from $335 million in 2007 to $705 million in 2008. In addition, the Cambodian prime minister has pledged to place all forests in Cambodia under the anticipated REDD-plus agreement if new climate change agreement includes REDD-plus activities, indicating that Cambodia has the political will and basic infrastructure for implementing sustainable forest management or REDD-plus projects. Taking account the opportunity costs, biodiversity conservation, and co-benefits as described earlier, it is essential, therefore, that the Cambodian government prepares detailed management plans for forest resources across the country. The detailed plans should include identifying the forests to be designated for REDD or REDD-plus projects, information on forest stand structures (for degradation monitoring), scheduling regular resource assessments, identifying the roles and responsibilities of all stakeholders at all levels, and defining the benefit-sharing scheme among stakeholders. Capacity building such as regular training and related materials should also be made available to all stakeholders to ensure smooth and effective implementation of REDD projects. Socioeconomic and environmental impact assessments of resource use and management should also be provided.

6. Conclusion

Our results indicate that the economic return for managing natural forests is influenced by costs and timber and carbon prices. Under BAU-timber, logging companies operate at a loss because of the market price of timber, but government revenues are positive because taxes are based on the amount of timber harvested and sold regardless of the market price as long as there is logging going on. Logging is an essential activity as long as it is managed sustainably and there is a timber supply, and such implementation would not be possible without financial support. Under REDD-plus management, incorporating RIL and liberation treatment, the economic return is higher than for other land-use options in Cambodia, although this depends on carbon prices. The carbon price from REDD-plus projects should be comparable to that from other sectors in either voluntary or compulsory markets, but it should be at a level that maintains logging and that is attractive to REDD-plus developers. Including all co-benefits in the REDD-plus option would maintain the opportunities costs of REDD-plus option competitive to that of other land use options. Well-defined forest management ensures the sustainability of forest resources, ecosystem functioning, and, most importantly, sustainable development of poor communities that depend almost entirely on ecosystem services that cannot be obtained elsewhere. A forest management plan that identifies the roles and responsibilities of all stakeholders is required to ensure the success of the REDD-plus projects. Importantly, this plan should not compromise the traditional, cultural and social uses of natural forests by indigenous populations. High-biodiversity forest and environmentally and ecologically sensitive forests (such as protection forest, watershed forest, and other forests prohibited by logging regulations) should be avoided from commercial logging even under the RIL+ practices as such practices will adversely affect ecological functions of forest and downstream communities. As REDD-plus is a new management concept, capacity building in terms of forest resource management and education on the consequences of different management options should be provided to all stakeholders.

Funding and Acknowledgements

This work is funded through the Harvard Forest’s Charles Bullard Fellowship in Forest Research for Advanced Research and Study and a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (No. 18402003) from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan. We gratefully thank Putz F.E. of University of Florida for comments and suggestions on earlier version, staff at Harvard Forests and Ty S. of Cambodia’s Forestry Administration for help and suggestions. Three anonymous reviewers are thanked for their invaluable comments and suggestions.

Supplementary Materials

Available online here

REFERENCES (upon request)

Biographical note

Nophea Sasaki is an associate professor of forest management and international climate policy at the Graduate School of Applied Informatics, University of Hyogo in Kobe, Japan. He was trained as forester in Sarawak jungle (Malaysia) and Cambodia.

Atsushi Yoshimoto is a professor of forest economics and mathematical modeling at the Department of Mathematical Analysis and Statistical Inference, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics in Tokyo, Japan.

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